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Post-Election Drama: Is the Market Overpricing Volatility?

  • Writer: Joshua Enomoto
    Joshua Enomoto
  • Sep 30, 2024
  • 1 min read

As we approach a period of heightened uncertainty following the election, DJT stock options are showing extreme levels of implied volatility (IV), hitting an eye-popping 250%. In the world of options trading, such elevated IV suggests that the market is pricing in massive swings in the underlying stock—an environment full of opportunity, but also significant risk.


In my latest video, I dive into whether this sky-high volatility is justified or whether the market may be overpricing the fear and uncertainty. Could implied volatility rise even higher, potentially reaching 300% or 500%? Or, if the post-election environment turns out to be relatively calm, might the current IV be overestimated? This situation opens up a compelling case for credit-based options strategies—such as the bull put spread—where you can potentially capitalize on inflated volatility by selling options premium.


If you're navigating this volatile landscape, understanding the relationship between implied volatility and actual market risk is crucial. Watch the video to learn more about how you can use options strategies to potentially benefit from these inefficiencies while keeping risk in check.



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